The AI sustainability trade-off businesses didn’t expect

The AI revolution is happening fast. Companies worldwide are integrating generative AI to automate, optimize, and innovate. But, it’s coming at a cost. Not just in dollars, but in sustainability.

A recent Capgemini report shows that nearly half (47%) of businesses deploying AI at scale have had to revise their sustainability goals. Why? Because AI demands insane amounts of energy. Data centers, the backbone of AI, need power—lots of it. Google’s emissions jumped 48% in four years just to keep up with AI growth. Their ambitious 2030 net-zero target? Now “extremely ambitious” and uncertain due to surging energy demands.

So, businesses are making a choice. Push forward with AI and risk higher emissions, or slow down and miss out on the competitive edge? Most are choosing AI. The sustainability conversation is taking a backseat.

AI’s resource appetite is no joke

Generative AI isn’t just some lightweight software running in the cloud—it’s a beast. Training massive models like OpenAI’s GPT-4, with 1.76 trillion parameters, consumed as much electricity as 5,000 U.S. households in a year. And that’s just training. Running the models—known as inference—also eats up energy, every single time AI processes new data.

Water? Also a problem. AI servers run hot, and cooling them down isn’t free. Each 10-50 AI queries can use half a liter of water. Now scale that to billions of interactions every day, and you see the issue.

Then there’s hardware. AI chips need rare Earth metals, and mining them isn’t exactly carbon-neutral. By 2030, AI hardware waste could hit 5 million tonnes—a landfill-sized problem no one’s really talking about.

At the same time, data centers are on track to consume 4% of the world’s electricity by 2030. Europe wants to cut emissions by 11.7%, but growing AI demands could make that goal impossible. The math isn’t looking great.

Most businesses aren’t even tracking AI’s environmental cost

AI adoption is skyrocketing. 80% of businesses have increased AI investment since 2023, with nearly 25% integrating GenAI across multiple functions. Yet here’s the surprising part: most don’t even know what it’s costing them in emissions.

Only 38% of executives are aware of AI’s environmental footprint. Even worse, just 12% of companies track it. And why? Because transparency is lacking. Hyperscalers (big cloud providers) aren’t exactly handing out real-time data on energy use.

Even when companies do understand the impact, many don’t seem to care. A Capgemini survey found that only 20% of executives ranked sustainability among their top AI concerns, while 53% prioritized cost-efficiency. In short, businesses want AI to be fast, powerful, and cheap. Sustainability? That’s an afterthought.

And it gets worse. A report from the Uptime Institute found that less than half of data center operators track their own renewable energy usage and water consumption. Official emissions figures are often way off. Research suggests that emissions from big players like Google, Microsoft, Meta, and Apple might actually be 662% higher than reported, thanks to carbon offsets and creative accounting.

Cost will drive AI to be more energy-efficient

Most companies don’t prioritize sustainability—but they do care about costs. AI isn’t cheap to run. As usage scales, businesses will start feeling the financial weight of AI’s energy demands. That means efficiency will become a competitive advantage.

Samuel Young, an AI practice manager at Energy Systems Catapult, puts it simply: “Inference costs scale with energy use. If you want to save money, you have to cut energy consumption.” In other words, companies that optimize AI efficiency will win—not just financially, but environmentally too.

This shift won’t happen overnight, but it’s inevitable. Companies may not go green because they want to—but because they have to. The smartest players will find ways to build more efficient AI models, reduce hardware waste, and optimize data center energy use.

AI isn’t going away. But how we power it? That’s going to be a defining challenge of the decade. The businesses that solve this problem will lead.

Key executive takeaways

  1. AI growth is forcing sustainability trade-offs: Nearly 47% of businesses deploying generative AI at scale have revised their sustainability goals due to rising energy demands. Companies must weigh AI’s competitive advantages against its environmental impact and explore energy-efficient solutions.

  2. Generative AI is a major resource consumer: AI models require massive energy, water, and rare Earth metals, with data centers projected to consume 4% of global electricity by 2030. Leaders should prioritize more efficient AI models and infrastructure upgrades to mitigate long-term costs and regulatory risks.

  3. Most companies lack AI emissions oversight: Only 38% of executives are aware of AI’s environmental footprint, and just 12% measure it. Business leaders should push for greater transparency from AI providers and integrate sustainability metrics into AI adoption strategies.

  4. Cost efficiency will drive AI sustainability: 53% of executives prioritize cost competitiveness over environmental impact, but AI’s high energy costs will pressure businesses to optimize power use. Organizations should invest in lower-energy AI models and cloud solutions to align financial and sustainability goals.

Tim Boesen

February 3, 2025

4 Min