Precise revenue forecasts need data science and DataOps

Data science and DataOps the pulse of strategic decision-making across departments like finance, sales, and marketing. Through intelligent data analytics and AI, leaders get actionable insights that guide revenue forecasts.

Let’s be clear though, achieving reliable revenue forecasts is no small task. Forecasting is a complex ecosystem filled with data quality issues, lagging processes, and occasionally major prediction errors.

According to the 2024 Sales Forecasting Benchmarking Report, 43% of companies report sales forecasts that miss the mark by over 10%. Almost four in ten point to data quality as a major issue, and over a third cite delays that undermine forecast accuracy.

The businesses that come out on top are those that don’t leave their forecasts to chance. They leverage innovative tools and focus on getting their data right, making forecasting a clear, data-driven process. In short, they’re making decisions based on a real-time understanding of revenue potential and market conditions, not on outdated or incomplete data. That’s how you take forecasting from being a “best guess” to a key advantage.

DataOps and financial planning teams need structured collaboration

Building an accurate forecast isn’t a one-person job, it’s a high-level collaboration between DataOps and FP&A (Financial Planning and Analysis) teams. FP&A experts need integrated, well-organized data at their fingertips to create forecasts that truly drive the business forward.

DataOps must go beyond providing raw data. They centralize, clean, and make data reliable, cutting down time wasted on troubleshooting and letting FP&A do what they do best: model the future of the business. When data scientists and FP&A teams work closely, they create a fast, agile environment for forecasting.

Blend internal and external data with multiple models

Revenue forecasting requires more than looking at internal sales and customer data. External forces—like economic shifts or political events—play a huge part in shaping revenue outcomes.

FP&A teams that look beyond their own walls and blend internal data with these broader influences produce more accurate forecasts.

Consider the process. To capture a full picture, FP&A teams use both “top-down” and “bottom-up” methods. They predict changes from high-level revenue streams while drilling down into specific regions, product lines, or business units. They aren’t relying on a single angle, but are looking at multiple scenarios and benchmarks, adjusting forecasts to match real-world conditions.

High-quality, centralized data is fundamental

When we talk about revenue forecasting, clean and centralized data is a must-have. This is where DataOps and governance teams come into play. They’re responsible for making sure that data is accurate, integrated, and accessible in a centralized location. The payoff? FP&A professionals can trust their data sources and focus on developing models rather than spending time fixing data inconsistencies.

For organizations managing large data flows, investing in data fabrics and tailored data catalogs can be impactful. Real-time pipelines and updated catalogs make sure FP&A has everything they need right where they need it. When data is in one place, it reduces errors and builds confidence in the forecasting process.

Growth forecasting brings unique challenges

Forecasting growth is a whole different challenge. It’s a balancing act that requires reliable data from sales, supply chains, and the economy. Growth forecasts demand more transparency in data, which means that both data lineage and quality are essential.

FP&A teams need to work with DataOps to track data sources and make sure every piece of data contributes to a clear, accurate forecast.

Common issues include CRM inconsistencies, complex sales cycles, and external influences that impact growth. Without thorough data governance, these variables can throw forecasts off. Addressing these problems head-on with data governance brings clarity and accountability to growth projections, creating a stable foundation for future-oriented forecasts.

Capture broader trends to strengthen forecasts

To get the most out of revenue forecasts, it’s smart to look beyond internal metrics. External data—like consumer sentiment, economic indicators, and even the latest news—adds depth and accuracy to forecasts, especially when market trends shift unexpectedly. Relying solely on internal metrics might leave blind spots, missing out on key shifts happening in the market.

Using sources like social media or real-time news feeds gives FP&A teams an extra layer of insight. It can show potential disruptions, trends, and shifts in consumer behavior, providing a more complete picture.

Use specialized revenue forecasting and lifecycle management tools

Tools like SAP Revenue Growth Optimization, Microsoft Dynamics Sales, and Workday Adaptive Planning support FP&A teams by providing the features they need—collaboration, annotation, and advisory capabilities—all in one place. Integrated with ERP and sales platforms, these tools bring accuracy and efficiency to the process.

When these platforms are powered by AI, they open up even more possibilities. AI-driven insights, collaboration across departments, and a unified view of data mean decision-makers can base their strategies on a clear, comprehensive source of truth. The focus here should be to create a smoother, more cohesive approach to forecasting, where data is both accessible and actionable.

Raise value with cross-functional data collaboration

Revenue forecasting reaches its full potential when data scientists, engineers, and governance specialists come together, each bringing their expertise to the table. This is a team sport. Data integrity, modeling, and visualization skills sharpen forecast quality and clarity, so that ultimately, leadership receives a truly reliable forecast.

Success in this area starts with clearly defined roles. Who’s responsible for which forecasts? What data sets are they using, and when are forecasts delivered? Addressing these questions up front creates a unified, collaborative workflow that benefits the whole organization.

Final thoughts

Are you treating data as a passive asset, or are you actively using potential to predict and shape outcomes? With the right data strategy, every forecast becomes a competitive advantage, every insight a lever for growth. Your revenue forecasts can be a real-time roadmap to guide you through every market shift and demand curve. Don’t let these valuable insights slip through the cracks.

Tim Boesen

November 21, 2024

5 Min