Digital twins are evolving from operational tools to strategic decision-making aids

Most businesses still think of digital twins as tools for tracking physical assets, machines on a factory floor, maybe a pipeline or a turbine. That view is out of date. Today, digital twins can simulate entire business systems, not just parts. They’re no longer just about efficiency and maintenance, they’re about testing and executing strategic decisions in real time.

What we’re seeing now is a shift from control to exploration. Executives can set up simulations for product launches, market shifts, pricing changes, even competitor reactions. You can look at multiple paths before committing to one. You can assess risk with context, not in isolation. The technology is projecting scenarios using actual operating data, layered with external inputs. This changes how decisions are made. You’re no longer choosing based on historical reports; you’re choosing based on simulated futures calculated in real time.

This shift is especially visible in environments with high stakes and limited margins for error. Take Formula 1 teams. They use digital twins to model everything, from engine wear to race-day competitor tactics. They collect real-world driver, car, and track data and feed it into simulations that influence strategy before and during a race. Their tolerance for uncertainty is nearly zero.

C-suite leaders should apply the same thinking. When decisions carry weight, multi-million dollar product bets, strategic shifts in go-to-market approach, or capital allocation, using live simulations gives you leverage. The environment won’t simplify itself, but your ability to plan, test, and pivot can improve dramatically. That’s the strategic promise of digital twins.

Using this technology for strategy forces a mindset change. The question stops being, “What’s working?” and becomes, “What could work better, and under what conditions?” If your team is still only using digital twins to prevent machine failures, you’re missing the real opportunity. Today, strategic execution needs to match the speed of thought, and in some cases, the speed of machines. Digital twins enable that shift.

Proliferation of data and AI advancements are driving broader adoption of digital twins

The essential infrastructure is in place. Connected devices are expanding fast. Cloud platforms are more powerful than ever. AI models are shaping decisions in real time. All of this pushes digital twin technology into new territory.

Enterprises can now gather massive amounts of data, machine data, customer behavior, environmental conditions, and feed it into dynamic simulation models. This wasn’t feasible 5 or even 3 years ago. Today, organizations can simulate interconnected systems, updated continuously with incoming signals. That kind of intelligence leads to autonomous decision-making, efficiency at scale, and sharper predictions. Systems become more adaptive. Outcomes become less surprising.

Digital twins used to be limited by the quality and availability of the data. That limitation is gone. Now, you’re looking at a situation where increasing data volume and AI capability reinforce each other. Models become more accurate. Outputs become more actionable. Enterprise decision-makers can trust these systems to monitor operations and to suggest the best course of action.

The direction is clear. You’re not modeling guesses. You’re simulating the actual state of operations and their projected outcomes based on real, moving data. That makes every decision faster and, more importantly, better.

If your systems aren’t learning from new data inputs continuously or adjusting simulations on the fly, you’re not using digital twins the way top-tier companies already are. Moving forward, any serious conversation about enterprise AI, cloud investment, or operational intelligence has to include digital twins. Otherwise, you’re planning with yesterday’s tools.

Organizations face growing pressure to adopt probabilistic strategic planning

We’re in a time where volatility is the norm, climate disruptions, market instability, and increasing regulatory pressure are all driving complexity across the board. The traditional approach, making decisions based on a fixed set of known inputs, isn’t cutting it anymore. Leaders need to prepare for outcomes across a range of unknowns. That’s where probabilistic strategic planning enters.

Digital twins make it scalable. These systems allow companies to simulate different strategic paths and account for a spectrum of possible impacts. Instead of relying on a single ROI model or financial forecast, you can test multiple outcomes, layered with competitive dynamics, regulatory shifts, and operational constraints. The value isn’t in confirming what you expect, it’s in discovering what you didn’t consider.

This becomes critical when the stakes are high. Capital is getting more expensive. Return on investment is under the microscope. Investors today aren’t simply asking, “Will this work?” They want to know, “How likely is it to succeed given everything we don’t fully control?” Digital twin simulations provide those answers with measurable confidence levels and scenario transparency.

Cultural shifts toward data-driven thinking

One of the biggest shifts happening inside companies is cultural, not technical. Over the past decade, a new generation of professionals has entered the workforce with stronger digital literacy and a much higher comfort level using data in day-to-day work. As a result, organizations are more open to making decisions based on dynamic models rather than relying solely on historical reports or legacy instincts.

This mindset change is critical if you want to drive adoption of advanced tools like digital twins. These simulations are designed to show variation, possibility, and outcome probability. To use them well, teams need to be ready to interpret data patterns, change course when the model suggests a better path, and give up the idea that the future can be locked into a single forecast. That readiness is growing.

Leadership teams are becoming more focused on experimentation, testing, and iteration, not because it’s trendy, but because the business environment demands it. Most senior stakeholders now understand that static models fall short when facing fast-moving variables like supply chain shifts, demand fluctuations, or regulatory updates. A simulation that updates with current data provides stronger footing for making those calls.

For executives driving transformation, this cultural traction matters. Without it, even the best simulation models will stall in deployment. With it, digital twins become core to how decisions get made, how teams prepare for uncertainty, and how the company moves faster when conditions change.

Transitioning to strategic digital twin use demands new tools, mindsets, and comprehensive stakeholder engagement

Shifting digital twin applications from operational monitoring to strategic decision-making requires a deeper reset in how organizations approach complexity. Strategic uses of digital twins involve higher volumes of unpredictable variables, less structured data, and the need to simulate decisions with longer-term impact. This makes clarity, alignment, and stakeholder trust essential to success.

The technical side is only part of the equation. The larger challenge is bringing decision-makers into the simulation process early. When leaders see digital twins as extensions of real strategic thinking, not just data visualizations, they engage more directly with the insights. That engagement improves decision quality and strengthens confidence in outcomes. But this alignment doesn’t happen automatically. It takes iteration, involvement, and patience.

Data prioritization also matters. When simulation models try to handle everything at once, they get diluted. Identifying the core data assets, customer sensitivity to price, infrastructure capacity thresholds, or economic forecasts, helps make simulations more useful, faster. One UK utilities company tested this by commissioning a national survey to identify customer preferences for switching to greener technology. That focused, high-value data set turned their simulation into something actionable.

Another key step is closing the feedback loop. Simulations shouldn’t be static. They improve over time when live data, like sensor inputs, customer actions, or market signals, is fed back into the model.

While strategic simulations show promise, they require rigorous validation, investment, and cross-functional coordination

The potential of digital twins at the strategic level is clear, but unlocking that potential demands more than just switching on new software. When simulations begin to impact capital allocation, M&A scenarios, and multi-quarter business models, leadership needs to be confident in the data, the accuracy of the simulations, and the alignment across teams using them.

These are not light-touch applications. Running advanced simulations means integrating data across finance, operations, product, and sometimes external partners. If inputs are misaligned, or models are inconsistent, the result is confusion, not insight. That’s why validation is key. Simulations must be tested against real-world results or compared with more familiar decision frameworks. One digital twin lead at a Dutch research institute addressed this directly. Their team validated digital twin models by running them alongside traditional planning methods for six months. The comparison helped earn buy-in and revealed the consistent accuracy of the simulation outcomes.

It’s also important to recognize that many companies underestimate the technical demands. High-performance simulations require robust computing power and scalable infrastructure. When capacity is limited, latency increases, and real-time decision-making suffers. To address this, the same digital twin lead partnered with a cloud provider to expand their simulation capabilities. As they put it, “This transition supports our real-time and complex digital twin simulations, moving beyond the limitations of our previous infrastructure.” That step turned a constrained experiment into a continuous planning capability.

Leaders should also prepare to address investment logic. These systems aren’t expensive for what they do, but the benefits are distributed—better forecasting, clearer trade-offs, faster insight loops. That may not match neatly to one P&L line. The impact is cross-functional, which means ownership must be, too. Making these simulations part of business rhythm requires efforts to align priorities across strategy teams, data engineering functions, and operating leadership.

Another growing trend is the use of generative AI and synthetic data to fill gaps where real-world data doesn’t yet exist at scale. This helps teams simulate forward-looking activity in markets, systems, or customer segments that are still forming. That matters when simulating scenarios with no precedent but high relevance to future growth or risk.

Strategic simulations are necessary. Their effectiveness depends on trust, integration, and the discipline to test the model before it becomes the decision. When used correctly, they accelerate confidence, raise decision quality, and reduce the cost of delays or mistakes. The tech is maturing fast. What matters now is whether your leadership teams are ready to move fast with it.

Organizations must align structure, leadership, and capabilities to fully capitalize on strategic digital twins

Deploying digital twins at a strategic level is an organizational shift. To drive value, companies need structure, leadership commitment, and the right talent infrastructure. Without alignment across those elements, even the best digital twin architecture underperforms.

This starts with leadership. Strategic simulations require executive sponsorship from people who understand the business impact and are willing to integrate these models into planning and decision cycles. These aren’t isolated innovation experiments. They must be embedded in how key decisions are framed, tested, and executed.

The next layer is capability. Most companies will need to go beyond their internal resources. Building and maintaining high-quality digital twin simulations, especially those relying on real-time and probabilistic models, requires rare skill combinations across AI, systems engineering, data science, and applied strategy. Rather than trying to pull this together in isolation, successful organizations are forming partnerships with universities, cloud service providers, and applied research institutions.

Organizations that want full strategic return from their digital twins need to invest with discipline. This includes creating a digital twin strategy at the enterprise level, hiring leadership that understands simulations as business enablers, and linking those investments to measurable outcomes, faster decisions, more accurate forecasts, and better alignment across products and markets.

Companies that can move digital twins beyond operations into strategic workflows set themselves apart in speed, accuracy, and adaptability. Those that don’t will be reacting while others are simulating, testing, and moving forward with confidence. The choice is structural, not incremental. Align leadership, build the right infrastructure, and act decisively.

In conclusion

Digital twins are no longer niche or experimental. For executive teams focused on speed, clarity, and adaptability, they’re becoming central to how high-stakes decisions get made. Whether you’re optimizing operations, adjusting to external shocks, or planning for complex market shifts, the ability to simulate multiple outcomes using real-time data isn’t optional, it’s a strategic asset.

What matters now is integration. Strategic applications of digital twins can’t sit off to the side as isolated tools. They need to be embedded in leadership conversations, investment planning, and scenario testing. That requires alignment across data, people, and platforms, and the willingness to think differently about risk and opportunity.

If your organization is still using digital twins to monitor equipment or manage downtime, you’re just scratching the surface. The next competitive edge will come from leaders who can use simulation to make better decisions faster, with more confidence in uncertain conditions. The infrastructure is here, the data is flowing, and the models are maturing. The question is whether your leadership is ready to move with it.

Alexander Procter

April 3, 2025

11 Min